Full record
HiteconomyThe US Federal Reserve cuts interest rates two more times in 2025.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“we will most likely get two more cuts this year.”
The US Federal Reserve cuts interest rates two more times in 2025.
- Made on
- 2025-09-18
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +3.92
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-12-10
The Federal Reserve enacts two additional rate cuts at its remaining 2025 FOMC meetings, on or before 2025-12-31.
Criterion required two additional cuts at the Fed's remaining 2025 FOMC meetings (Oct 28-29 and Dec 9-10) on or before 2025-12-31. Both meetings enacted a 25bp cut, so exactly two additional cuts occurred within the window. Outcome value not assigned per stage separation.
Sources
IMPORTANT WARNING TO ALL INVESTORS
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
FOMC statement of Oct 28-29, 2025: the Fed lowered the federal funds target range by 25 bps to 3.75%-4.00% (first of the two remaining 2025 meetings after the Sept 18 claim; 10-2 vote).
FOMC statement of Dec 9-10, 2025: the Fed lowered the target range by another 25 bps to 3.50%-3.75% (second remaining 2025 meeting; 9-3 vote), completing the second of two additional cuts on or before 2025-12-31.
CNBC coverage confirming the December cut and that October was the 'second time in 2025' the Fed cut, i.e. two cuts occurred at the two FOMC meetings following the September statement.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+3.92- How sure they sounded
- 90%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The US Federal Reserve cuts interest rates two more times i…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-09-18
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources