Full record
MisstechNvidia's revenue growth will decelerate into the 30–40% range in the near term.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Misstech“Nvidia is probably going to find itself in that 30 to 40% revenue growth very, very quickly.”
Nvidia's revenue growth will decelerate into the 30–40% range in the near term.
- Made on
- 2025-05-29
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- -0.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2026-05-20
Nvidia's year-over-year quarterly revenue growth falls into the 30–40% range (down from ~60%+) in at least one quarter reported on or before 2026-05-29.
The last qualifying quarter (Q1 FY2027) was reported 2026-05-20, before the 2026-05-29 deadline, so the window is fully resolvable. No reported quarter's YoY revenue growth reached the 30–40% range (all were 56–85%). Q1 FY2027 figure confirmed against Nvidia's own press release (primary). Outcome value not assigned.
Sources
This Changes EVERYTHING For NVDA
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Every Nvidia quarter reported on or before 2026-05-29 grew year-over-year FAR above the predicted 30–40% band: Q2 FY2026 (ended 2025-07-27) +56%; Q3 FY2026 (ended 2025-10-26) +62%; Q4 FY2026 (ended 2026-01-31) reported strong double-digit-billions growth; and Q1 FY2027 (ended 2026-04-26, reported 2026-05-20) revenue $81.6B, up 85% YoY. YoY quarterly growth never fell into the 30–40% range within the window.
Full-year context: FY2026 revenue was ~$215.9B, up ~65% over FY2025's $130.5B — a deceleration from FY2025's +114%, but still nowhere near down to the 30–40% quarterly band the prediction specified.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
-0.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Nvidia's revenue growth will decelerate into the 30–40% ran…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-05-29
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources