Full record
HittechTesla will begin launching Robotaxi service in the short term
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hittech“Robo taxes are going to begin to launch”
Tesla will begin launching Robotaxi service in the short term
- Made on
- 2025-02-12
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-06-22
Tesla publicly begins launching a Robotaxi service by 2026-02-12.
Criterion (Tesla publicly begins launching a Robotaxi service by 2026-02-12) met well ahead of deadline — launch occurred 2025-06-22, ~8 months before the deadline. Prediction correct.
Sources
If you are a TESLA shareholder….GET READY!
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Tesla publicly launched its Robotaxi service in Austin, TX on 2025-06-22, offering paid rides (a $4.20 flat fee) in a limited fleet of Model Y vehicles within a geofenced safe zone, with remote monitoring.
Contemporaneous coverage of the Austin robotaxi launch confirming service began with early-access riders on 22 June 2025.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Tesla will begin launching Robotaxi service in the short te…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2025-02-12
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources