Full record
25% rightmarketsThe stock market will undergo a significant correction in September 2024, ahead of the expected November-December rally.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
25% rightmarkets“before the November December estimated Bull Run we will see one more big drop probably in September”
The stock market will undergo a significant correction in September 2024, ahead of the expected November-December rally.
- Made on
- 2024-08-25
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.79
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-09-30
The S&P 500 falls at least ~5% peak-to-trough at some point during September 2024.
Criterion NOT met. The written bar is a ~5% peak-to-trough drop at some point during September 2024. The largest intra-September drawdown was the ~4% early-month decline (S&P Global), short of 5%, and the month closed UP ~1.8% at a record high. No significant September correction materialized.
Sources
A Once in a Lifetime Investment Opportunity Is Here
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
S&P Dow Jones Indices / S&P Global U.S. Equities Market Attributes: the S&P 500 began September 2024 with an early-month decline of about 4% (widely reported ~4.3% in the first week), then rebounded to FINISH September UP ~1.8-2.0% at a new record high of 5,762.48 - its best September since 2013. The early-September pullback did not reach the ~5% peak-to-trough threshold.
Cboe/market recaps corroborate: September 2024 was a positive month (~+2%) closing at all-time highs after a shallow early-month dip; no ~5% correction occurred within the month.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+0.79- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The stock market will undergo a significant correction in S…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-08-25
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources