Full record

Hiteconomy

The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least twice in 2024

A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourceeconomy

Scored prediction

Hiteconomy

we will have two cuts for sure maybe even three Cuts this year

The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least twice in 2024

Made on
2024-08-01
Outcome
Hit
Importance
4 / 5
Effect on score
+3.99

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2024-11-07

Fed enacts two or more distinct rate cuts during calendar year 2024.

Criterion (two or more distinct cuts in calendar 2024) satisfied at the second cut on 2024-11-07; a third cut also occurred.

Sources

  • This changes EVERYTHING for the stock market

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Second distinct 2024 cut: Nov 7, 2024, target range lowered 25 bps to 4.50%-4.75%. Combined with the Sep 18 cut this makes two-or-more distinct cuts.

    Evidence

  • A third cut followed on Dec 18, 2024 (25 bps to 4.25%-4.50%), so 2024 saw three distinct cuts in total.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • horizon type: 'this year' is a phrase-family inference under the deadline table (no calendar date stated); the deadline is inferred, not explicit. basis and deadline unchanged.

Effect on the score

+3.99
How sure they sounded
97%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
4 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least twice…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2024-08-01

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