Full record

Hiteconomy

The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.50 percentage points (a double cut) in September 2024

A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourceeconomy

Scored prediction

Hiteconomy

the emergency rate cut is going to come in September in the form of a point five decrease

The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.50 percentage points (a double cut) in September 2024

Made on
2024-08-08
Outcome
Hit
Importance
4 / 5
Effect on score
+3.02

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2024-09-18

Fed cuts the policy rate by 50 basis points at the September 2024 FOMC meeting.

Criterion (50 bps cut at the September 2024 meeting) satisfied exactly; magnitude was precisely 50 bps.

Sources

  • IT'S STARTING: THE FED IS ABOUT TO FLIP THE STOCK MARKET

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • The Sep 17-18, 2024 FOMC cut the target range by exactly 50 bps (a 'double cut') to 4.75%-5.00% from 5.25%-5.50% — the first non-emergency 50 bps cut since 2008.

    Evidence

  • Reporting confirms the September 2024 move was a half-point (50 bps) reduction.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+3.02
How sure they sounded
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
4 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.50 percent…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2024-08-08

How this profile was built

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