Full record
HittechPalantir's earnings will grow exponentially (driven by AIP) over the next two years, i.e. by 2026-07-21.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hittech“I do think we'll see at some point in the next two years exponential growth in their earnings as AIP”
Palantir's earnings will grow exponentially (driven by AIP) over the next two years, i.e. by 2026-07-21.
- Made on
- 2024-07-21
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2026-02-02
Palantir's GAAP annual net income (or EPS) grows at an accelerating year-over-year rate, at least doubling for the fiscal year ending on/before 2026-07-21 versus fiscal 2024.
Fiscal year ending on/before 2026-07-21 = FY2025 (ended 2025-12-31); FY2024 is the baseline. Criterion has two parts, both met: (1) at least doubling — FY2025 net income ~$1.63B vs FY2024 ~$468M is ~3.5x; (2) accelerating YoY rate — FY2023 GAAP net income ~$210M → FY2024 ~$468M ≈ +123%, then FY2024 → FY2025 ≈ +249%, an acceleration. resolved_on set to the FY2025 earnings-release date (early Feb 2026); the SEC exhibit URL 403s on direct programmatic fetch but is a valid primary filing and figures are corroborated by multiple search sources. No conflicting credible evidence.
Sources
BREAKING - BIDEN DROPS OUT OF RACE
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Palantir Q4/FY2025 earnings release (SEC EDGAR, exhibit 99.1): full-year GAAP net income $1,634,644K (~$1.63B) for FY2025 vs $467,918K (~$468M) for FY2024; net income attributable to common stockholders $1,625,033K; diluted EPS $0.63 (FY2025) vs $0.19 (FY2024). FY2025 net income is ~3.5x FY2024 — more than doubled.
Palantir FY2025 Annual Report (Form ARS, SEC EDGAR) corroborating full-year 2025 financial statements.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Palantir's earnings will grow exponentially (driven by AIP)…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-07-21
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources