Full record

Hitmarkets

The S&P 500 will finish May 2024 higher than it started

A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcemarkets

Scored prediction

Hitmarkets

I I still think probably favor May being an up month

The S&P 500 will finish May 2024 higher than it started

Made on
2024-05-03
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Effect on score
+1.84

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2024-05-31

The S&P 500 closes May 2024 above its April 2024 close (positive monthly return).

Criterion (May 2024 close above April 2024 close) is clearly met: ~5,035.69 -> ~5,277.51, about +4.8% for the month.

Sources

  • The Stock Market Apocalypse Just Started

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • S&P 500 closed April 30 2024 at 5,035.69 and closed May 31 2024 at 5,277.51, a monthly gain of roughly +4.8%. The index finished May higher than it started.

    Evidence

  • Historical S&P 500 daily closing prices (April 30 and May 31 2024) confirming the positive May monthly return.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+1.84
How sure they sounded
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

The S&P 500 will finish May 2024 higher than it started
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2024-05-03

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

  2. Predictions gathered and sourced

  3. Independently verified against sources

Every public score traces back to sourced prediction records.

Avow is an independent project. The pundits scored here are not affiliated with Avow and do not endorse it. Names and likenesses are used for identification and commentary.

Evidence firstMethodologyPrivacy