Full record
HitmarketsIf the Fed delivers all three rate cuts in 2024, the stock market will post spectacular gains
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“scenario number one we get all the three rate Cuts in 2024 the market goes absolutely ballistic an amazing year”
If the Fed delivers all three rate cuts in 2024, the stock market will post spectacular gains
- Made on
- 2024-04-11
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +3.82
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-12-31
IF the Fed delivers 3 rate cuts in 2024, THEN the S&P 500 posts exceptional gains (e.g. >20%) for 2024
Both antecedent (3 cuts) and consequent (>20% gains) occurred. Non-conditional-vacuous: this is the branch that actually triggered, and the predicted outcome materialized.
Sources
The Fed Just ENDED The Stock Market | URGENT
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Corrections
- conditional condition met: Fed delivered exactly 3 cuts in 2024; antecedent objectively met, so field should be set.
Effect on the score
+3.82- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
If the Fed delivers all three rate cuts in 2024, the stock…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-04-11
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources