Full record
MisstechPalantir's pilot/customer count will grow roughly 5x again over 2024
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Misstech“I bet when we look at 2024 it's going to 5x again.”
Palantir's pilot/customer count will grow roughly 5x again over 2024
- Made on
- 2024-02-08
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.46
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-02-03
Palantir's pilot/customer count at end-2024 is ≈5x its ~500 end-2023 level (i.e. on the order of ~2,500).
Palantir reports total 'customer count', not a separate 'pilot count'; the reported customer metric (711) is the criterion's stated anchor (~500 end-2023 → ~2,500 target). Actual end-2024 figure of 711 is ~1.43x, well below ~5x. Even the fastest-growing sub-segment (US commercial customers +73% YoY) is nowhere near 5x. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
PLTR STOCK: Cathie Wood Just Dropped a MASSIVE BOMBSHELL about PLTR's Future | PLTR Stock Prediction
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Palantir reported 711 customers as of Dec 31, 2024, up 43% YoY from 497 customers at end-2023 (per Q4 2024 earnings and FY2024 10-K). This is ~1.43x, far below the ~5x (~2,500) criterion.
Q4 2024 earnings highlights: customer count growth of 43% YoY to 711; U.S. commercial customer count up 73% YoY — the strongest sub-segment, still an order of magnitude short of 5x total.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+0.46- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Palantir's pilot/customer count will grow roughly 5x again…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-02-08
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources