Full record
HittechPalantir's year-over-year count of new $1M+ enterprise deals will keep increasing through 2024
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hittech“paler just did 100 New Deals worth a million more in 2023 that's double than what they had in 2022 that trend is only going to continue”
Palantir's year-over-year count of new $1M+ enterprise deals will keep increasing through 2024
- Made on
- 2024-02-07
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-02-03
Palantir's reported 2024 count of $1M+ TCV enterprise deals exceeds its 2023 count.
Palantir does not publish a single headline 'full-year $1M+ deal count'; the annual figure is the sum of the four per-quarter counts it reports each earnings release. The direction is unambiguous — every individually confirmed comparable quarter (Q3 2024 104 > Q3 2023 80; Q4 2024 129 > Q4 2023 103) is higher, and the quarterly aggregate (~416 vs ~315) exceeds 2023. Q2 2023 exact figure (~68) not re-confirmed to the digit here but is immaterial to the outcome. No outcome value assigned per instructions.
Sources
Palantir shareholders….GET READY!
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Palantir's per-quarter count of deals closed of at least $1M rose in every comparable quarter from 2023 to 2024. 2023: Q1 64, Q2 ~68, Q3 80, Q4 103 (~315 full year). 2024: Q1 87, Q2 96, Q3 104 (confirmed), Q4 129 (confirmed) (~416 full year). Both confirmed comparable quarters (Q3: 104 vs 80; Q4: 129 vs 103) and the aggregate show 2024 exceeding 2023.
Q4 2024 earnings release (Feb 3, 2025) reports 129 deals of at least $1M closed in Q4 2024, alongside 58 deals ≥$5M and 32 ≥$10M; total $1.8B TCV closed in Q4 (+56% YoY). This is the release that completed the full-year 2024 count.
Q4 2023 business update reports 103 deals of at least $1M in Q4 2023; Q3 2023 release reports 80 deals ≥$1M; Q1 2023 reports 64 ≥$1M — establishing the 2023 baseline that 2024 exceeds.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Palantir's year-over-year count of new $1M+ enterprise deal…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-02-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources