Full record
HiteconomyThe Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least once in 2024
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“if inflation keeps coming down slowly the Federal Reserve will as Tom Lee said have no choice but to cut rates in 2024 whether that happens in May or June or July”
The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least once in 2024
- Made on
- 2024-02-26
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +3.92
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-09-18
The Fed announces at least one policy-rate cut during calendar 2024.
Criterion required at least one policy-rate cut during calendar 2024; three cuts occurred (Sept, Nov, Dec). Resolved on the date the condition was first satisfied (Sept 18, 2024). No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Holy Crap! Tom Lee New Stock Market Prediction is MIND-BLOWING
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
The Fed cut its policy rate multiple times in calendar 2024: -50 bps on Sept 18, and further cuts of -25 bps on Nov 7 and -25 bps on Dec 18, 2024. At least one 2024 cut is confirmed.
Contemporaneous reporting confirms the Sept 18, 2024 half-point cut as the first of the 2024 easing cycle, satisfying the 'at least one cut in 2024' criterion.
Corrections
- conditional condition met: The stated condition ('inflation keeps coming down slowly') objectively held: 2024 CPI net-declined over the year into the Sept cut (the disinflation the Fed cited). A conditional can only score once the antecedent is confirmed, so condition_met must be populated rather than left null.
Effect on the score
+3.92- How sure they sounded
- 90%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least once i…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-02-26
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources