Full record
HiteconomyThe Federal Reserve will make three rate cuts in 2024, all in the second half of the year
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“rate cuts are coming in 2024 but it's going to be later in the year in the second half of the year and we're going to see three rate Cuts”
The Federal Reserve will make three rate cuts in 2024, all in the second half of the year
- Made on
- 2024-01-30
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +3.82
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-12-18
The Federal Reserve makes exactly three rate cuts in 2024, all occurring in H2 2024.
Exactly three rate cuts occurred in 2024 (Sept, Nov, Dec), all in H2, matching the criterion precisely. Primary source: Federal Reserve FOMC statements. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Elon Musk Just Dropped a MASSIVE Bombshell
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
The FOMC cut the federal funds rate three times in 2024, all in the second half: September 18, 2024 (−50bp), November 7, 2024 (−25bp), and December 18, 2024 (−25bp). No cuts occurred in H1 2024.
September 2024 FOMC cut of 50bp (first cut in four years).
November 7, 2024 FOMC cut of 25bp to 4.50%–4.75%.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+3.82- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The Federal Reserve will make three rate cuts in 2024, all…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-01-30
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources