Full record
HitmarketsThe $61,000 base-price Cybertruck will not be available for purchase before 2025.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“we will not see this 61,000 model until 2025”
The $61,000 base-price Cybertruck will not be available for purchase before 2025.
- Made on
- 2023-12-07
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.91
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-01-01
The $61,000 base-price Cybertruck is not orderable/deliverable before 2025-01-01.
Negative prediction ('will NOT be available before 2025'). Confirmed true: throughout 2024 the cheapest orderable Cybertruck was the AWD at $79,990; the ~$61,000 base was reservation-only and never available for purchase in 2024. resolved_on set to 2025-01-01, the point at which the deadline passed with the event not having occurred.
Sources
Elon Musk BOMBSHELL That Will Change Tesla Forever
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
At Cybertruck's Nov/Dec 2023 launch, only the dual-motor AWD ($79,990) and tri-motor Cyberbeast ($99,990) were orderable/deliverable. The $60,990 single-motor RWD base version was listed as 'available in 2025' (reservation only) and was removed from Tesla's site in mid-2024 — it was never orderable or deliverable in 2024.
When a cheaper RWD Cybertruck actually launched (April 2025), it was the 'Long Range RWD' at $69,990 — not the originally promised ~$61,000 base — and was later discontinued. No ~$61,000 base Cybertruck was orderable/deliverable before 2025-01-01.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+1.91- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The $61,000 base-price Cybertruck will not be available for…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-12-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources