Full record
HitmarketsThe new clients Palantir acquired over the past year will be visibly reflected in its revenue growth within 12 months.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“in the next year they have to come in all these new clients that came in over the past year will have to be seen or reflected in their revenue growth over the next 12 months”
The new clients Palantir acquired over the past year will be visibly reflected in its revenue growth within 12 months.
- Made on
- 2023-11-16
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-11-04
Palantir's revenue growth over the year to 2024-11-16 visibly reflects the newly acquired clients (e.g. accelerating commercial revenue).
Criterion (accelerating commercial revenue reflecting newly acquired clients within 12 months to 2024-11-16) is met: Q3 2024 shows sharply accelerating U.S. commercial revenue (+54% YoY) alongside +39% YoY customer growth, the most recent report inside the window. resolved_on = the Q3 2024 earnings release date.
Sources
Why I'm Concerned about Palantir?
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Palantir Q3 2024 earnings (reported 2024-11-04, quarter ended 2024-09-30 — within the 12-month window to 2024-11-16): total revenue grew 30% YoY to $726M; U.S. commercial revenue grew 54% YoY (13% QoQ) to $179M; customer count grew 39% YoY; closed 104 deals over $1M. Management explicitly said 'the growth of our business is accelerating.'
CNBC coverage of Palantir Q3 2024: accelerating commercial revenue and raised full-year guidance, attributed to strong U.S. commercial/AIP customer demand and expanding customer base.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The new clients Palantir acquired over the past year will b…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-11-16
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources