Full record
HittechPalantir will be publicly announced as the winner of the ~$600 million NHS contract.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hittech“NHS, that $600 million deal, is pretty much a done deal. It's done, it's settled, it's not been announced yet, so the only thing that's missing from the NHS deal is the public announcement.”
Palantir will be publicly announced as the winner of the ~$600 million NHS contract.
- Made on
- 2023-10-04
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.99
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-11-21
Palantir is publicly announced as the awardee of the ~$600m NHS (Federated Data Platform) contract within roughly three months of the utterance.
Prediction made 2023-10-04, deadline ~2024-01-04. The public award announcement occurred 2023-11-21, comfortably within the ~three-month window. Palantir was named the awardee of the NHS Federated Data Platform contract exactly as the criterion specifies. Headline contract value is most commonly cited as ~£330m (some outlets ~£480m including associated funds); the ~$600m figure in the claim is in the right order of magnitude and does not affect the winner-announcement criterion. No conflicting evidence on the awardee.
Sources
This NEW Palantir Contract CHANGES EVERYTHING
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
NHS England publicly announced on 2023-11-21 that a Palantir-led consortium (with Accenture, PwC, Carnall Farrar, NECS) won the Federated Data Platform contract, valued at ~£330 million over seven years, chosen ahead of rivals including Oracle and IBM. This is the ~$600m NHS contract referenced (£330m ≈ $410m base; press widely cited up to ~£480m/~$600m including associated funding).
NHS England's own FDP contract explainer confirms Palantir was awarded the Federated Data Platform contract, corroborating the official public announcement.
pharmaphorum coverage: 'Palantir wins £330m NHS data contract,' confirming the public award announcement in November 2023.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.99- How sure they sounded
- 97%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Palantir will be publicly announced as the winner of the ~$…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-10-04
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources