Full record
HittechThe Tesla Model Y surpasses the Toyota Corolla in annual global sales within two years.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hittech“the model Y is going to outpace the Corolla within the next two years”
The Tesla Model Y surpasses the Toyota Corolla in annual global sales within two years.
- Made on
- 2023-07-03
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.94
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-12-31
The Tesla Model Y surpasses the Toyota Corolla in annual global unit sales in a calendar year on or before 2025-07-03.
Criterion: Model Y surpasses Toyota Corolla in annual global unit sales in a calendar year on or before 2025-07-03. Satisfied by calendar year 2023 (~1.22M Model Y vs ~803K Corolla), well within the window; predicted 'within two years' of a 2023-07-03 statement. Event happened; resolvable. Same source caveat as the sibling record: JATO is the standard aggregator rather than an official agency, but figures are widely corroborated and no conflicting credible source was found. Note the Corolla nameplate figure here excludes the separate Corolla Cross; the criterion names the Corolla, so the nameplate comparison is the correct one.
Sources
Revealing the Truth About Tesla
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
JATO Dynamics full-year 2023 global sales: Tesla Model Y ~1.22 million units (ranked #1) vs Toyota Corolla ~803,000 units (ranked #4). Model Y outsold the Corolla in annual global units in calendar 2023.
CarExpert coverage of the JATO 2023 ranking corroborates Model Y at ~1.23M units finishing ahead of the Toyota models in the global calendar-2023 ranking.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.94- How sure they sounded
- 90%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The Tesla Model Y surpasses the Toyota Corolla in annual gl…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-07-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources