Full record

Hittech

The Cybertruck commences production and 2024 is the first year of meaningful production ramp-up.

A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcetechmarkets

Scored prediction

Hittech

Cyber truck will commence production and 2024 will be the first year when we actually see some ramp up

The Cybertruck commences production and 2024 is the first year of meaningful production ramp-up.

Made on
2023-07-17
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Effect on score
+1.91

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2024-12-31

The Tesla Cybertruck enters production and 2024 shows meaningful production/delivery ramp-up.

Supports the prediction as written. Production entered and 2024 was the first full year of a meaningful ramp (~39k US deliveries, top-selling electric pickup). Caveat for scoring context: the ramp fell far short of Tesla's earlier ~250k/yr aspiration and demand softened in H2, but the criterion ('enters production and 2024 shows meaningful production/delivery ramp-up') is met. resolved_on set to end of the 2024 evaluation window; full-year figure confirmed via Q4/annual reporting in early Jan 2025.

Sources

  • Tesla is about to EXPLODE

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Cybertruck production/deliveries commenced with the first deliveries on 2023-11-30, then ramped through 2024.

    Evidence

  • Cox Automotive estimate: Tesla sold 38,965 Cybertrucks in the US in 2024, making it the best-selling US electric pickup (beating Ford F-150 Lightning's 33,510).

    Evidence

  • Quarterly ramp within 2024 (InsideEVs): Q3 ~16,692 and Q4 ~12,991 units — tens of thousands delivered across the year, though momentum faded late.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+1.91
How sure they sounded
85%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

The Cybertruck commences production and 2024 is the first y…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2023-07-17

How this profile was built

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