Full record
HitmarketsPalantir (PLTR) will NOT reach $500 per share (~$1T market cap) within two years of June 2023
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“it's not going to one trillion dollars next year it's not going to go to 500 per share in the next two years it's not going to happen”
Palantir (PLTR) will NOT reach $500 per share (~$1T market cap) within two years of June 2023
- Made on
- 2023-06-04
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-06-04
PLTR share price does NOT trade at or above $500 (~$1T market cap) at any point on or before 2025-06-04.
Criterion is a negative/no-touch condition through 2025-06-04. PLTR never reached $500 within the window (nor at any time since — ATH ~$207 in Nov 2025), so the criterion is definitively satisfiable and resolved at the deadline. resolved_on set to the deadline date. Outcome value (o) intentionally not assigned per stage scope.
Sources
Why Palantir Long Term?
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Palantir (PLTR) all-time high is ~$207.52 intraday / $207.18 close on 2025-11-03 — the highest price the stock has EVER reached, still far below $500. Within the criterion window (through 2025-06-04) PLTR traded roughly in the $20–$130 range and never approached $500. No stock split occurred that would alter this comparison.
Historical price series confirms PLTR did not trade at or above $500 at any point on or before 2025-06-04; the stock's parabolic 2023–2025 run peaked well under that level, so the negative prediction ('will NOT reach $500') held over the full two-year window.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Palantir (PLTR) will NOT reach $500 per share (~$1T market…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-06-04
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources