Full record
HiteconomyThe Fed struggles to raise interest rates further through the rest of 2023.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“I think Powell will have a tough time increasing rates in 2023 because of the banking system, because of political reasons, because of economical reasons”
The Fed struggles to raise interest rates further through the rest of 2023.
- Made on
- 2023-06-22
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +3.02
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-12-31
The Federal Reserve makes no more than one additional 25bp rate hike between 2023-06-22 and 2023-12-31.
Criterion: no more than one additional 25bp hike between 2023-06-22 and 2023-12-31. Exactly one 25bp hike occurred (July 2023), then three consecutive holds. The written condition ('no more than one') is satisfied. Note that the claim's qualitative framing ('the Fed struggles to raise rates further') is captured by the criterion as one-or-fewer hikes; the outcome-value assignment for whether 'one hike + then done' counts as struggling-to-raise is left to the quantify/score stage.
Sources
The RIGHT Way To Invest In Stocks Like Palantir
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+3.02- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The Fed struggles to raise interest rates further through t…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-06-22
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources