Full record
HittechVolkswagen will not surpass Tesla in EV deliveries/sales in 2023.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hittech“I don't want to hear this nonsense about how VW is about to surpass Tesla in 2023 is that happening not in 2024 there's definitely time for VW to play even on the same level”
Volkswagen will not surpass Tesla in EV deliveries/sales in 2023.
- Made on
- 2023-01-03
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-01-02
VW's full-year 2023 battery-EV deliveries do not exceed Tesla's full-year 2023 deliveries.
Criterion (VW full-year 2023 BEV deliveries do not exceed Tesla's) met: Tesla ~1.81M vs VW ~0.77M BEVs. VW did not surpass Tesla. Deadline 2023-12-31 passed; full-year figures confirmed early Jan 2024.
Sources
Tesla Missed Delivery Target (But That's OK)
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Volkswagen will not surpass Tesla in EV deliveries/sales in…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2023-01-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources