Full record
HitmarketsTesla is substantially undervalued (~45%); its shares (~$156) will rise toward their ~$227 DCF value.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“based on these super super conservative assumptions... Tesla... is undervalued by 45”
Tesla is substantially undervalued (~45%); its shares (~$156) will rise toward their ~$227 DCF value.
- Made on
- 2022-12-15
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-06-08
Tesla shares reach ~$227 (the stated DCF value) at any point within 36 months of the call.
Criterion ('reach ~$227 at any point within 36 months') is clearly satisfied — TSLA hit $227 by mid-2023. resolved_on set to ~2023-06-30 as the approximate first crossing (the July-2023 rally to $267 is firmly documented; exact first-cross date can be tightened from daily data at score time). Note: reaching the DCF price level is a target-hit, not a claim that the DCF valuation was 'correct' — scope scoring to the written criterion (touching ~$227), which was met.
Sources
Time to finally sell Tesla stock?
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Tesla (TSLA) rose well past ~$227 within the 36-month window. After the ~$156 call (2022-12-15), TSLA rallied through 2023 and closed at $267.43 on 2023-07-31 (up ~126% from Jan 2023), having crossed $227 during the June-July 2023 rally — inside the first ~7 months of the window.
TSLA subsequently far exceeded $227, reaching an all-time high around $488-499 in December 2025 (intraday ~$498.83 on 2025-12-22; record close ~$489.88 on 2025-12-16), confirming the ~$227 level was reached and greatly surpassed within the window ending 2025-12-15.
Corrections
- resolution resolved on: First daily close ≥$227 was 2023-06-08 (first intraday touch 2023-06-07); tighten the approximate crossing date to the verified value. Outcome (hit) unchanged.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Tesla is substantially undervalued (~45%); its shares (~$15…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-12-15
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources