Full record
HiteconomyThe Fed will keep raising rates in 2023 and hold rates elevated in 2024, with a poor macro environment across both years.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“the FED will keep raising rates in 2023 2024 is going to be elevated interest time as well so the next two years are not going to be good from a macroeconomic perspective”
The Fed will keep raising rates in 2023 and hold rates elevated in 2024, with a poor macro environment across both years.
- Made on
- 2022-12-29
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +3.82
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-12-31
The Fed raises rates further during 2023 and holds policy rates elevated through 2024.
Both clauses satisfied: rates rose further during 2023 (July hike to 5.25-5.50%) and policy rates stayed elevated through 2024 (4.25-4.50% at year-end, well above the pre-2022 near-zero level) despite three late-2024 cuts. The 'poor macro environment' color is softer — growth stayed positive with no recession — but the written criterion is about the rate path, which resolves true. Deadline 2024-12-31 passed.
Sources
Elon Musk Just Dropped a Bombshell about Tesla's Future
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+3.82- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The Fed will keep raising rates in 2023 and hold rates elev…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-12-29
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources