Full record

Hitmarkets

Palantir will post at least $500M in revenue in Q4 2022 — its first $500M quarter

A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcemarkets

Scored prediction

Hitmarkets

if they hold true to that, we're going to have the first $500 million quarter in Palantir's history

Palantir will post at least $500M in revenue in Q4 2022 — its first $500M quarter

Made on
2022-11-08
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Effect on score
+1.91

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2023-02-13

Palantir's reported Q4 2022 revenue is >= $500M, the first quarter in its history to reach that level.

Criterion fully met: reported Q4 2022 revenue ($508.6M) >= $500M, and it was Palantir's first-ever quarter to reach that level (prior quarters, e.g. Q3 2022 ~$478M, were below $500M). Prediction came to pass; outcome value left to scoring stage.

Sources

  • Palantir Stock at $7: Buy? Hold? or Sell?

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Palantir's Q4 2022 earnings release (reported Feb 13, 2023) shows Q4 2022 revenue of $508.6M (~$509M), up 18% YoY — clearing the $500M threshold.

    Evidence

  • Contemporary coverage confirms ~$509M Q4 2022 revenue (beat ~$502M consensus) and first quarter of positive GAAP net income ($31M).

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+1.91
How sure they sounded
85%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Palantir will post at least $500M in revenue in Q4 2022 — i…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2022-11-08

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

  2. Predictions gathered and sourced

  3. Independently verified against sources

Every public score traces back to sourced prediction records.

Avow is an independent project. The pundits scored here are not affiliated with Avow and do not endorse it. Names and likenesses are used for identification and commentary.

Evidence firstMethodologyPrivacy