Full record
HitmarketsThe stock market will make new lows in 2022.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“I believe we will see new lows in 2022”
The stock market will make new lows in 2022.
- Made on
- 2022-09-14
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-10-12
The S&P 500 sets a new 2022 closing low after 2022-09-14, on or before 2022-12-31.
Criterion (new 2022 closing low after 2022-09-14, on or before 2022-12-31) met. First new post-9/14 closing low occurred late September 2022; ultimate 2022 closing low was 3,577.03 on 2022-10-12. resolved_on set to the definitive low date. No conflicting evidence.
Sources
Inflation Is NOT Getting Better [Don't Fight The Fed]
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
The S&P 500 set its 2022 bear-market closing low of 3,577.03 on 2022-10-12, below the prior June 16, 2022 low of 3,666.77 and far below the ~3,946 close on the 2022-09-14 statement date. New 2022 closing lows were first set in late September 2022 (below the June low), then the definitive low on Oct 12 — a clear new closing low after 2022-09-14 and before 2022-12-31.
Contemporaneous reporting: 'S&P 500 closes at new 2022 low' (Sept 29, 2022), confirming fresh 2022 closing lows were being set in the weeks after 2022-09-14.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The stock market will make new lows in 2022.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-09-14
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources