Full record
HitmarketsElon Musk's acquisition of Twitter will complete (the deal will close, not fall through) by October 2022.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“By october they gotta close, so you're looking at about seven and a half percent for six months.”
Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter will complete (the deal will close, not fall through) by October 2022.
- Made on
- 2022-05-06
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.94
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-10-27
Musk's acquisition of Twitter legally closes (deal consummated) on or before 2022-10-31.
Criterion met cleanly: deal legally consummated 2022-10-27, before the 2022-10-31 deadline. The deal did NOT fall through.
Sources
Can You Actually Profit During a Stock Market CRASH?
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Elon Musk completed his $44B acquisition of Twitter; the deal officially closed on the evening of Oct 27, 2022 (within the on-or-before 2022-10-31 window). Musk took ownership and fired the CEO/CFO immediately.
Washington Post: Musk's Twitter deal closed Oct 27, 2022; CEO fired same day.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.94- How sure they sounded
- 90%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter will complete (the deal…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-05-06
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources