Full record
HiteconomyUS inflation continues to worsen (rise higher) in the near term through mid-2022
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“they're about to get worse”
US inflation continues to worsen (rise higher) in the near term through mid-2022
- Made on
- 2022-04-12
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +3.82
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-06-30
US CPI inflation rises further above its April 2022 level in the following months through mid-2022.
On a YoY basis April 2022 dipped to 8.3% before rising to the June 9.1% peak; on an index-level basis CPI rose monotonically through June 2022. Under either reading, inflation rose further and peaked in June (mid-2022), satisfying the criterion. resolved_on set to the criterion window end (2022-06-30); confirming June data released 2022-07-13. Outcome value not assigned per instructions.
Sources
Record Inflation hits 8.5%, Charlie Munger Dumps Alibaba Shares
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
US headline CPI (BLS) continued to rise through mid-2022. Around the statement date, YoY CPI was 8.5% (March 2022, released 2022-04-12). It then registered 8.3% (April 2022), 8.6% (May 2022), and peaked at 9.1% in June 2022 — the largest 12-month increase since November 1981. On a price-index (level) basis the CPI rose every month through June 2022.
BLS CPI release for June 2022 (published 2022-07-13) confirms the 9.1% YoY peak, a 40-year high, driven by record gasoline prices — confirming inflation worsened further above its April-2022 level through mid-2022.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+3.82- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
US inflation continues to worsen (rise higher) in the near…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-04-12
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources