Full record
75% righttechPalantir reaches $6 billion in annual revenue by end of 2025
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
75% righttech“they're going to hit 6 billion in 2025 in annual revenues”
Palantir reaches $6 billion in annual revenue by end of 2025
- Made on
- 2022-04-08
- Outcome
- 75% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.94
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2026-02-02
Palantir reports annual revenue of at least $6 billion for fiscal year 2025.
FY2025 is complete and reported (earnings released early Feb 2026). Actual FY2025 revenue ~$4.475B < $6B criterion; prediction did not come true. resolved_on set to the ~Feb 2026 FY2025 results release. Outcome value not assigned per instructions.
Sources
We need to talk about PLTR...
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Palantir Technologies reported total revenue of $4,475,446 thousand (~$4.475 billion) for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, a ~56% increase over 2024's ~$2.87B. This is below the $6 billion threshold in the criterion.
Palantir Q4 2025 earnings release (revenue growth 70% Y/Y) and the FY2025 10-K confirm full-year 2025 revenue of ~$4.48B, materially short of $6B. During 2025 the company's own raised full-year guidance (to ~53% growth, ~$4.4B) was already well under $6B.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.94- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- 75% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Palantir reaches $6 billion in annual revenue by end of 2025- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-04-08
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources