Full record
HitmarketsThe US stock market does not crash the next day (2022-04-07)
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“the stock market is not supposed to crash tomorrow”
The US stock market does not crash the next day (2022-04-07)
- Made on
- 2022-04-06
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.91
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-04-07
The S&P 500 does not crash (no ≥~5% single-day decline) on 2022-04-07.
Criterion: no ≥~5% single-day S&P 500 decline on 2022-04-07. The index actually closed up +0.43%, so the day is fully resolved and the 'no crash' condition is clearly evaluable. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Don't panic. Relax. Everything will be fine 👊
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
On 2022-04-07 the S&P 500 rose 19.06 points, or 0.43%, to close at 4,500.21, recouping early losses to finish higher — nowhere near a ≥~5% single-day decline, so no crash occurred.
Corroborating index level: the Dow rose 87.06 points (+0.25%) to 34,583.57 and the Nasdaq Composite closed at 13,897.30 on April 7 2022; broad US indexes finished the day up, confirming no market crash.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+1.91- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The US stock market does not crash the next day (2022-04-07)- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-04-06
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources