Full record
HitmarketsElon Musk's acquisition of Twitter will complete, closing at approximately $54 per share.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“it's going to go down the 54 range and it's going to get done”
Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter will complete, closing at approximately $54 per share.
- Made on
- 2022-04-24
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.94
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-10-27
The Musk-Twitter merger closes with shareholders receiving approximately $54 (agreed $54.20) per share within the horizon window.
Directly satisfies the written criterion: the Musk-Twitter merger closed with shareholders receiving the agreed $54.20 per share, on 2022-10-27 — roughly 2.5 years before the 2025-04-24 deadline, comfortably inside the horizon window. No conflicting evidence; the close price and completion are matters of public record.
Sources
Twitter Board Has No Choice Except To Agree To Elon Musk's Offer
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Elon Musk completed his acquisition of Twitter on October 27, 2022, taking the company private at the agreed $54.20 per share (~$44B total), and immediately ousted top executives including CEO Parag Agrawal.
Contemporaneous reporting confirming the deal officially closed the night of Oct 27, 2022 and Musk took ownership of Twitter.
Twitter, Inc. SEC 8-K filings documenting the merger agreement at $54.20/share cash and the transaction completion.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.94- How sure they sounded
- 90%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter will complete, closing a…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-04-24
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources