Full record
HitmarketsCopper will be a high-demand, higher-priced commodity within the next few years, driven by EV-industry growth.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“copper is going to be a hot commodity in the next few years”
Copper will be a high-demand, higher-priced commodity within the next few years, driven by EV-industry growth.
- Made on
- 2022-04-27
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-04-22
Copper spot price appreciates above its 2022-04-27 level (or demand materially rises) at some point within the window.
Criterion is 'appreciates above its 2022-04-27 level (~$4.40/lb) at some point within the window' — satisfied. Copper traded materially above the baseline within the window (e.g. ~$6.12/lb on 2025-04-22, just inside the 2025-04-27 deadline; also exceeded during 2024). Note the criterion tests price appreciation only, not the causal EV-demand mechanism the claim asserted.
Sources
How To Benefit From This Stock Market Crash
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
COMEX copper stood at ~$4.40/lb at end of April 2022 (the made-on baseline, 2022-04-27). Source: CME Group April 2022 copper insights / MetalMiner 2022 review.
COMEX copper reached ~$6.12/lb on April 22, 2025 — well above the ~$4.40/lb 2022-04-27 baseline and within the on-or-before 2025-04-27 window. (Copper had also already exceeded the 2022 baseline at points in 2024.)
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Copper will be a high-demand, higher-priced commodity withi…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-04-27
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources