Full record
HitmarketsTesla (TSLA) reaches $1,000 per share (pre-2022-split basis) soon.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“thank you for hating we love it we appreciate it see you at a thousand bucks real soon”
Tesla (TSLA) reaches $1,000 per share (pre-2022-split basis) soon.
- Made on
- 2022-03-22
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-03-23
TSLA trades at or above $1,000 per share on a pre-split basis (equivalently $333.33 after the 3-for-1 split of 2022-08-25), intraday or close, at any point on or before 2023-03-22.
Criterion is 'at or above $1,000 pre-split ($333.33 post-split), intraday or close, at any point on or before 2023-03-22'. Met within one trading day of the claim. Threshold conversion checked: the 3-for-1 split took effect 2022-08-25, so all pre-2022-08-25 quotes cited here are stated on a split-adjusted basis and multiplied by 3 to give the pre-split equivalent. Note that both the price sources available were split-adjusted feeds, not raw 2022 tape; the pre-split figures reconstructed above ($993.99 on 2022-03-22, $1,013.91 close on 2022-03-24, ~$1,152.87 intraday high on 2022-04-05) match contemporaneous reporting of TSLA's late-March/early-April 2022 move, so no conflict was found. Later in the window TSLA fell sharply (post-split lows near $101.81 in Dec 2022 / Jan 2023), but the criterion is 'at any point', so the March-April 2022 prints govern. No conflicting credible evidence. No outcome value assigned here.
Sources
Tesla is a $90 Stock | The Tom Nash Daily Show
YouTube — Tom Nash ·
Evidence of what happened
Daily split-adjusted OHLC for TSLA (Yahoo Finance chart data, verified directly): 2022-03-22 (day of claim) close 331.33 / high 332.62 = $993.99 / $997.86 pre-split, i.e. just BELOW the threshold. 2022-03-23 high 346.90 = $1,040.70 pre-split — first intraday print at or above the $333.33 split-adjusted ($1,000 pre-split) threshold after the claim. 2022-03-24 close 337.97 = $1,013.91 pre-split — first CLOSE above the threshold. Peak inside the window: 2022-04-05 high 384.29 = $1,152.87 pre-split.
Independent corroboration from exchange weekly OHLC bars (Interactive Brokers historical data, split-adjusted, queried 2026-07-25): week beginning 2022-03-21 high 346.90, close 336.88; week beginning 2022-03-28 low 351.20 / high 371.59 — the entire week of 2022-03-28 to 2022-04-01 traded above $333.33 split-adjusted ($1,053.60 to $1,114.77 pre-split), so the threshold is cleared unambiguously well inside the deadline regardless of any single-day data question.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Tesla (TSLA) reaches $1,000 per share (pre-2022-split basis…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-03-22
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources