Full record
HiteconomyThe Federal Reserve will officially acknowledge, during 2022, that it will not achieve its 2% inflation target this year.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hiteconomy“it's just a matter of time until they come out and officially say that well we're not going to hit two percent this year”
The Federal Reserve will officially acknowledge, during 2022, that it will not achieve its 2% inflation target this year.
- Made on
- 2022-03-10
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-03-16
During 2022 the Fed publicly states or its official projections (SEP) show 2% inflation will not be reached in 2022.
Criterion allows either a public Fed statement OR official SEP projections. The first official date in 2022 on which the SEP showed 2% inflation would not be reached that year is the March 16 2022 SEP (median 4.3% vs 2.0% goal). Condition held for the entire year through the deadline.
Sources
The Tom Nash Show: Inflation Getting Worse, Palantir, Oil Prices and Amazon Stock Split
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Fed Summary of Economic Projections, March 15-16 2022 (official): median projection for 2022 PCE inflation was 4.3% (core PCE 4.1%) versus the stated 2.0% longer-run goal — the Fed's own official projections show 2% would not be reached in 2022. Subsequent 2022 SEPs (June/Sept/Dec) kept 2022 well above 2%.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The Federal Reserve will officially acknowledge, during 202…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-03-10
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources