Full record
HitmarketsPalantir will not stage a significant bull run following its Q4 2021 earnings.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“i don't think it's going to happen now if you have any hopes of buying palantir and then hoping for a crazy bull run after the q4 financials i don't think it's going to happen”
Palantir will not stage a significant bull run following its Q4 2021 earnings.
- Made on
- 2022-02-16
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-05-16
In the weeks immediately after Feb 2022 Q4 earnings, PLTR does not sustain a rally (no material multi-week appreciation; stays flat or down).
Primary source: Interactive Brokers historical price bars (NASDAQ, contract 444857009); Macrotrends URL is a public corroborating reference for the same daily/monthly closes. Minor nuance for transparency: a brief March 2022 bounce reached ~$14.36 intramonth (roughly pre-earnings level) but did not sustain — the window ended clearly lower, supportive of the claim.
Sources
We really need to talk about Palantir...
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Evidence of what happened
PLTR reported Q4 2021 earnings on 17 Feb 2022 and sold off. IBKR/NASDAQ monthly OHLC: Feb 2022 opened $14.23 and closed $11.85; April 2022 closed $10.40; May 2022 closed $8.68 (intramonth low $6.44). There was no sustained multi-week bull run after earnings — the stock stayed flat-to-down and was materially lower by the 16 May 2022 deadline. Matches the criterion (no material multi-week appreciation).
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Palantir will not stage a significant bull run following it…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-02-16
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources