Tesla (TSLA) hits $1,500 per share (pre-2022-split basis) in the first half of 2022.

What counted as right

Status

resolved

Settled on

2022-06-30

True if TSLA trades at or above $1,500 on the pre-August-2022 share basis (equivalently $500.00 or higher after the 3-for-1 split) at any point between 2022-01-03 and 2022-06-30 inclusive. False if that level is not reached by the 2022-06-30 close.

Criterion threshold is $1,500 pre-split, equivalently $500.00 on the post-3-for-1 basis; the window maximum was $402.67 split-adjusted ($1,208.00 pre-split), about 19.5% below the required level, so the claim is not met on either basis. Resolved_on set to the criterion's own window end, 2022-06-30, since the level either was or was not reached by that close and no later information can change it. Both sources are split-adjusted; TSLA's 3-for-1 split took effect 2022-08-25, after the window, so no adjustment ambiguity affects the comparison once the criterion's own equivalence ($1,500 pre-split = $500 post-split) is applied. Two independent price sources agree exactly; no conflicting evidence. Archive URLs omitted (web.archive.org unreachable from this environment). The IBKR URL is a product page, not a per-record permalink — the data came from an authenticated IBKR historical-bars API call and is not addressable by public URL.

Sources

• Tesla Stock: what to expect in 2022

  YouTube — Tom Nash · 2022-01-03

  Source