Full record
25% rightmarketsTesla (TSLA) reaches a share price of $2,500
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
25% rightmarkets“my target price is going up to $2,500”
Tesla (TSLA) reaches a share price of $2,500
- Made on
- 2022-01-13
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-01-13
TSLA reaches $2,500 per share at any point within the price-target window.
Criterion ('TSLA reaches $2,500 within the price-target window') is NOT met. Note the Aug-2022 3-for-1 split: $2,500 pre-split ≈ $833 post-split; TSLA's window peak was ~$488.54 post-split. Not reached on either basis (nominal post-split price also never hit $2,500). Window closed 2025-01-13.
Sources
Tesla's Fair Value - Overvalued or Undervalued?
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Tesla's all-time high within the 2022-01-13 → 2025-01-13 window was a $488.54 intraday high (Dec 18, 2024) and $479.86 closing high (Dec 17, 2024), on a post-3:1-split basis. That equals roughly $1,435–$1,465 on the pre-split basis in which the $2,500 target was stated — far below $2,500. TSLA never approached $2,500 (pre-split-equivalent) at any point in the window.
TSLA long-run price history confirming the stock's maximum through early 2025 was in the high-$400s (split-adjusted), never reaching the ~$833 split-adjusted level that would correspond to a $2,500 pre-split price.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+0.84- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Tesla (TSLA) reaches a share price of $2,500- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-01-13
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources