Full record
HitmarketsTech stocks fall further below their January 2022 levels before reaching their bear-market bottom
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“this is not yet the end this is not a bottom for the stock market as far as tech stocks goes”
Tech stocks fall further below their January 2022 levels before reaching their bear-market bottom
- Made on
- 2022-01-18
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-10-13
A tech-stock index (Nasdaq Composite/Nasdaq-100) trades below its 2022-01-18 level at some later point before the bear-market bottom (by ~2023-01-18).
Unambiguous. The written criterion only requires a tech index (Nasdaq Composite) to trade below its 2022-01-18 close (14,514.59) at some later point before the bear-market bottom. It did so essentially continuously from early 2022 into the Oct 2022 trough (~10,088 intraday). resolved_on set to the bear-market bottom date (2022-10-13), by which the 'before the bottom' condition is fully determinable. No conflicting evidence.
Sources
This is NOT the Bottom
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Nasdaq Composite closed at 14,514.59 on 2022-01-18, the reference level in the criterion.
The Nasdaq Composite fell steadily through 2022 and made its bear-market swing bottom the week of 2022-10-10, with an intraday low of 10,088.83 on 2022-10-13 and a 2022 closing low around 10,213 — roughly 30% BELOW the 2022-01-18 level. The index therefore traded well below its 2022-01-18 value at many later points before the bottom, satisfying the criterion.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Tech stocks fall further below their January 2022 levels be…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-01-18
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources