Full record
HitmarketsPalantir (PLTR) shares reach $25 to $35.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“i value the company anywhere from 25 to 35 dollars even more on the high side i think they'll get there”
Palantir (PLTR) shares reach $25 to $35.
- Made on
- 2022-01-08
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-02-08
PLTR trades at or above $25.00 per share (intraday or close) at any point on or before 2025-01-08. Reaching the target at any point within the window counts, with no timing-miss penalty, since Avow imposed the horizon.
Criterion explicitly allows intraday or close and imposes no timing penalty, so the 2024-02-08 intraday print of $25.06 satisfies it. Palantir has never split its stock, so no split adjustment applies. Duplicate of tom-nash-202201-pltr-25-35-target (identical claim, made_on and window) — same resolution deliberately returned for both; flagged for the dedupe stage. Archive URLs omitted (web.archive.org unreachable from this environment); IBKR data came from an authenticated historical-bars API call with no public per-record URL. No conflicting evidence.
Sources
Palantir: Fair Value Of $5?
YouTube — Tom Nash ·
Evidence of what happened
PLTR daily OHLC bars, February 2024: 2024-02-05 close $16.72 (day before the Q4-2023 earnings reaction); 2024-02-06 high $22.18; 2024-02-07 high $23.87; 2024-02-08 high $25.06 — first intraday trade at or above $25.00 on or before 2025-01-08; first close at or above $25.00 on 2024-02-12 at $25.05. Either test (intraday or close) is satisfied well inside the window.
Interactive Brokers historical bars show PLTR never reached $25 between 2022-01-08 and 2024-01-31 (peak monthly high $21.85 in Nov 2023; 2022 low-side monthly high $7.97 in Dec 2022), with the Feb 2024 monthly high at $25.53, confirming 2024-02-08 as the first crossing rather than an earlier one.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Palantir (PLTR) shares reach $25 to $35.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-01-08
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources