Full record
HitmarketsPalantir (PLTR) has at least 70% upside from its January 2022 price and appreciates at least 70%
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“this company is 70 undervalued right now on the worst bare case possible”
Palantir (PLTR) has at least 70% upside from its January 2022 price and appreciates at least 70%
- Made on
- 2022-01-20
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-02-29
PLTR appreciates ≥70% above its 2022-01-20 price at any point within the price-target window.
Threshold = $14.62 x 1.70 = $24.85. On a closing basis PLTR first exceeded it on 2024-02-29 ($25.08), comfortably inside the window (2022-01-20 to 2025-01-20), and traded far above it by Jan 2025 ($70+). Criterion ('appreciates >=70% above its 2022-01-20 price at any point within the window') is met. resolved_on set to the first qualifying close. No conflicting evidence.
Sources
What's Next For Palantir?
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
PLTR closed at $14.62 on 2022-01-20, the reference price in the criterion. A 70% appreciation from $14.62 implies a threshold of ~$24.85.
PLTR first closed above the 70% threshold on 2024-02-29 at $25.08 (~+71.5% vs $14.62), then re-rated much higher through H2 2024 (e.g. ~$46.70 by early Nov 2024), remaining well above the threshold through the price-target window ending 2025-01-20.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Palantir (PLTR) has at least 70% upside from its January 20…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-01-20
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources