Full record
HitmarketsTesla stock rallies now that Elon Musk's share sales are complete and the selling pressure is gone
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“i expect to see a rally today now pretty much the balls and chains are off the stock is going to run”
Tesla stock rallies now that Elon Musk's share sales are complete and the selling pressure is gone
- Made on
- 2021-12-29
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.76
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-01-03
TSLA share price rises above its 2021-12-28 close of ~$1088 within roughly three months of 2021-12-29.
Criterion is narrowly satisfied: TSLA briefly exceeded its 2021-12-28 level in early January 2022. However, the underlying thesis ('rally now that Musk's selling is done') failed on the broader arc — TSLA then collapsed through 2022, ending the year around $123 (post-split) / far below the reference on any basis. The written criterion only requires a rise above the reference within ~3 months, which occurred, so status is resolved. Quantify stage should weigh the narrow criterion vs. the failed directional thesis.
Sources
Elon Musk Just Sent Tesla Stock to the Moon
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
TSLA closed at ~$1,199.78 (nominal, pre-2022-split) on 2022-01-03 and traded intraday to ~$1,208 on 2022-01-04, above the 2021-12-28 reference close of ~$1,088. Split-adjusted, the 2022-01-03 close was $399.88 vs. the reference of ~$362.67 (1088/3). The written criterion — a rise above the 2021-12-28 close within roughly three months — was therefore met in the first trading days of January 2022.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.76- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Tesla stock rallies now that Elon Musk's share sales are co…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-12-29
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources