Full record
HittechThe Tesla Cybertruck will be released within about two years (by late 2023)
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hittech“it's literally coming in a year and a half two years and it's basically coming out and saying well this is going to be the best car we ever built”
The Tesla Cybertruck will be released within about two years (by late 2023)
- Made on
- 2021-12-07
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.91
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-11-30
Tesla Cybertruck deliveries/release begin by approximately end of 2023.
First deliveries on 2023-11-30 fall before the 2023-12-07 deadline and match 'by approximately end of 2023.' Straightforward resolution; no conflicting evidence.
Sources
Tesla Stock Split
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Tesla held the official Cybertruck delivery event at Giga Texas (Austin) on Nov 30, 2023, handing over the first customer Cybertrucks — the release/first deliveries began ~end of 2023, satisfying the 'by approximately end of 2023' criterion (deadline 2023-12-07).
Confirmed delivery date pre-announced in Tesla's Q3-2023 shareholder materials and reported at the event: first Cybertruck deliveries occurred Nov 30, 2023.
Corrections
- tags: Claim is purely about Cybertruck release timing (a product launch), not a market/price movement; 'tech' is the correct single central tag.
Effect on the score
+1.91- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The Tesla Cybertruck will be released within about two year…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-12-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources