Full record
75% rightmarketsVale (VALE) shares reach $23.80.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
75% rightmarkets“we use extremely conservative assumptions really high discount rates very low growth and we got to 23.8 dollars which is 87 higher than its current share price even under this strict circumstances so i see a lot of potential in this company”
Vale (VALE) shares reach $23.80.
- Made on
- 2021-11-06
- Outcome
- 75% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.94
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-11-06
True if VALE's NYSE share price (price only, dividends excluded) trades at or above $23.80 at any point between 2021-11-06 and 2024-11-06 inclusive. False if it never reaches $23.80 in that window.
Criterion is a pure price-threshold test over a closed window and is fully determinable: VALE never traded at or above $23.80 at any point between 2021-11-06 and 2024-11-06. Window maximum was $21.29 intraday on 2022-04-04. Resolved_on set to the window/deadline end date 2024-11-06, since a 'reaches at any point' claim can only be settled once the window closes. Data caveat: WebSearch budget for this session was exhausted, so corroboration is from a single price vendor (Yahoo Finance chart API) rather than a second independent feed or NYSE official tick data; the 10.6% margin between the observed peak and the threshold is far wider than any plausible vendor discrepancy, so this does not create genuine uncertainty and no needs_human_review flag is warranted. VALE had no stock splits in this window, so split adjustment is a no-op. Dividends are correctly excluded (the high/low/close fields used are raw price, not the dividend-adjusted series). No outcome value assigned - scoring is a later stage.
Sources
VALE Stock Review and Price Prediction for 2022
YouTube - Tom Nash (@TomNashTV) ·
Evidence of what happened
Full daily OHLC series for VALE (NYSE) across the entire criterion window 2021-11-06 to 2024-11-06 (754 trading sessions, first bar 2021-11-08, last bar 2024-11-06). The highest intraday price in the whole window was $21.29 on 2022-04-04 (open 21.09, high 21.29, low 21.04, close 21.23). The five highest intraday prints in the window were 21.29 (2022-04-04), 21.09 (2022-04-05), 20.96 (2022-03-07), 20.83 (2022-04-01), 20.59 (2022-04-06). No session's high reached or exceeded $23.80; the peak fell short of the $23.80 target by $2.51, i.e. about 10.6%. Values are price-only, split-adjusted, dividends excluded, matching the criterion.
Human-readable historical price table for VALE covering the same window, for independent inspection of the daily highs.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.94- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- 75% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Vale (VALE) shares reach $23.80.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-11-06
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources