Full record
MissmarketsPalantir will reach GAAP operating profitability by the end of Q4 2021 or Q1 2022
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Missmarkets“i believe by next quarter or the quarter after that we're going to be operationally profitable”
Palantir will reach GAAP operating profitability by the end of Q4 2021 or Q1 2022
- Made on
- 2021-11-11
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.46
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-05-09
Palantir reports GAAP operating income >= $0 for either the Q4 2021 or Q1 2022 quarter.
Criterion required GAAP operating income >= $0 in either Q4 2021 or Q1 2022. Both quarters posted GAAP operating LOSSES (-$58.9M and -$39.4M respectively), driven by large stock-based compensation. Criterion determinable once Q1 2022 results published (May 9, 2022).
Sources
Palantir: What's going with this stock?
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Palantir Q4 2021 (quarter ended Dec 31, 2021) GAAP loss from operations was -$58.943M (operating margin -14%); GAAP net loss -$156.188M. Reported Feb 17, 2022.
Palantir Q1 2022 (quarter ended Mar 31, 2022) GAAP loss from operations was -$39.439M; GAAP net loss -$101.379M; GAAP diluted EPS -$0.05. Reported May 9, 2022 (SEC 8-K FY2022).
Palantir's own first quarter of positive GAAP net income was Q4 2022 (reported Feb 13, 2023) — after the record's window — confirming neither Q4 2021 nor Q1 2022 was GAAP-positive.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+0.46- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Palantir will reach GAAP operating profitability by the end…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-11-11
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources