Full record
75% rightmarketsTesla stock reaches $1,500 per share (on its 2021-10-01 share basis)
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
75% rightmarkets“my opinion is the tesla is currently a 1500 stock which means it has 2x more to run before it even hits the current real evaluation it should have”
Tesla stock reaches $1,500 per share (on its 2021-10-01 share basis)
- Made on
- 2021-10-01
- Outcome
- 75% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.94
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-10-01
TSLA reaches $1,500 per share on the pre-split share basis of 2021-10-01 at any point within the window
Target not reached. Pre-2022-split (2021-10-01) basis: window maximum ~$1,243.49 (Nov 4, 2021) vs $1,500 criterion. Resolved at window close 2024-10-01. Verified against primary exchange price data with explicit handling of the 2022-08-25 3:1 split. Not assigning outcome value.
Sources
Why Chamath JUST Sold All His Tesla Stock
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Interactive Brokers exchange OHLC (TSLA, NASDAQ, contract 76792991; data split-adjusted for the 3:1 split of 2022-08-25 per included corp_actions). Highest weekly high within the window (2021-10-01 to 2024-10-01) was $414.50 split-adjusted, the week of Nov 1, 2021 (Nov 4, 2021 intraday peak). On the 2021-10-01 pre-split share basis that equals $414.50 x 3 = $1,243.49 — the all-time high on that basis and the window maximum. TSLA never traded at or above $1,500 on the pre-split basis at any point in the window (nor ever since; the later split-adjusted ATH ~$488 = ~$1,465 pre-split occurred after the window and is still below $1,500).
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.94- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- 75% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Tesla stock reaches $1,500 per share (on its 2021-10-01 sha…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-10-01
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources