Full record
HitmarketsPalantir (PLTR) stock will slump within about three to four months (by ~2022-02-20) as Fed tapering begins
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“I think there would be good opportunities to get Palantir for cheaper in about three to four months, uh, not sure about six months to a year, but after tapering I think Palantir is going to take a little slump so you might get it for cheaper.”
Palantir (PLTR) stock will slump within about three to four months (by ~2022-02-20) as Fed tapering begins
- Made on
- 2021-10-20
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.51
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-02-18
PLTR trades at least ~10% below its 2021-10-20 price at some point on or before 2022-02-20.
Criterion (PLTR trades at least ~10% below its 2021-10-20 price at some point on or before 2022-02-20) is clearly satisfied; threshold first breached mid-Nov 2021 and PLTR was ~55% below reference by the deadline. resolved_on set to 2022-02-18, the last trading day before the deadline. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
This Investing Mistake Will DESTROY Your Portfolio (DON'T DO THIS)
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
PLTR reference price on/around 2021-10-20 was ~$24.4 (NASDAQ weekly bar for the week of 2021-10-18: close $24.43, range $23.92-$25.20). The -10% threshold (~$21.96) was first breached in mid-November 2021 (week of 2021-11-15 traded to a low of $21.30, close $21.41) and PLTR kept falling.
By the 2022-02-20 deadline PLTR had fallen far more than 10%: after its 2022-02-17 Q4 earnings it collapsed to ~$11 (week of 2022-02-14 close $11.02, low $10.57), roughly 55% below the ~$24.4 reference price. Confirmed via NASDAQ primary-exchange daily/weekly OHLC (Interactive Brokers price history, contract 444857009).
Corrections
- Quote wording: Verbatim must follow spoken order (verbatim is sacred); stored text reordered clauses beyond allowed ASR/punctuation cleanup. 'Palantir' restored from ASR 'volunteer'.
Effect on the score
+1.51- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Palantir (PLTR) stock will slump within about three to four…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-10-20
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources