Full record

Hitmarkets

Meta (Facebook) stock will rise from ~$324 to Tom's price target of ~$380 (DCF) up to $488 (EBITDA multiple)

A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcemarkets

Scored prediction

Hitmarkets

price target of 380...and also 488 for my ebitda multiple

Meta (Facebook) stock will rise from ~$324 to Tom's price target of ~$380 (DCF) up to $488 (EBITDA multiple)

Made on
2021-10-24
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Effect on score
+2.86

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2024-02-02

META (FB) share price reaches ≥$380 at any point within the window.

Criterion (META reaches >=$380 at any point within the window) is satisfied: first >=$380 print ~2024-02-01/02, confirmed via NASDAQ primary-exchange OHLC (Interactive Brokers price history, contract 107113386). resolved_on set to 2024-02-02, the definitive break to $474.99. No outcome value assigned; note the $488 EBITDA-multiple upside and exact target-crossing timing are for the later scoring stage.

Sources

  • Meta Stock is CHEAP

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Made-on reference (~$324) matches META/FB in late Oct 2021 (NASDAQ weekly bar week of 2021-10-25: open $320.25, close $323.57). Within the window (2021-10-24 to 2024-10-24) META did NOT reach $380 in 2021-2022 (its ~$384 all-time high of 2021-09-01 predated the window; post-window-open peak in late 2021 was ~$354, then it fell to ~$88 in Nov 2022).

    Evidence

  • META first reached and exceeded $380 in early February 2024: after Q4-2023 earnings (reported 2024-02-01, first-ever dividend announced) the stock surged ~20.3% on 2024-02-02 to close at an all-time-high $474.99, having crossed $380 for the first time within the window. It went on to ~$600+ later in 2024, well before the 2024-10-24 deadline.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+2.86
How sure they sounded
85%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Meta (Facebook) stock will rise from ~$324 to Tom's price t…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2021-10-24

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