Full record
MissmarketsPalantir will report Q3 2021 revenue exceeding $400M, beating management guidance.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Missmarkets“i'm telling you right now that their guidance for q3 is too low they're going to break 400 for the next quarter in my opinion”
Palantir will report Q3 2021 revenue exceeding $400M, beating management guidance.
- Made on
- 2021-08-12
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- -0.89
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-11-09
Palantir's reported Q3 2021 total revenue exceeds $400M.
Criterion: Q3 2021 total revenue exceeds $400M. Actual $392M → not exceeded. resolved_on = earnings release date. Note the claim bundled two sub-conditions ('exceeding $400M' AND 'beating management guidance'); the written criterion here is only the $400M revenue level, which is what is resolved. No conflicting evidence.
Sources
What The Palantir Q2 Earnings Really Exposed?
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Palantir reported Q3 2021 total revenue of $392 million (up 36% Y/Y), announced 2021-11-09. This is BELOW the $400M threshold in the claim. (It did beat the analyst consensus of ~$385M, but the claim's criterion is the $400M absolute level, which was not met.)
Primary source: Palantir Q3 2021 press release / Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 filed with the SEC, reporting the quarter's results.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
-0.89- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Palantir will report Q3 2021 revenue exceeding $400M, beati…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-08-12
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources