Full record
MisstechPalantir's Q2 2021 government-segment year-over-year revenue growth exceeds 76%
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Misstech“I'm really excited to see in a few days what's the growth for this quarter. I'm sure it's going to be higher than 76%.”
Palantir's Q2 2021 government-segment year-over-year revenue growth exceeds 76%
- Made on
- 2021-08-03
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- -1.24
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-08-12
Palantir's reported Q2 2021 government-segment revenue grows more than 76% year-over-year, as stated in its Q2 2021 earnings report.
Criterion ('Q2 2021 government-segment YoY revenue growth exceeds 76%') is NOT met per Palantir's own reported figure of 66%. Report date (2021-08-12) is well within the deadline (2021-11-03). Resolution is unambiguous; only the outcome value (deferred to the scoring stage) remains.
Sources
Palantir Just Did The Unthinkable [Full Details]
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Palantir's Q2 2021 earnings release (reported Aug 12, 2021) stated: 'Second quarter government revenue was $232 million, up 66% year-over-year.' Total Q2 2021 revenue was $376M, up 49% YoY. Government-segment YoY growth of 66% is BELOW the 76% threshold in the criterion.
Primary source: Palantir Q2 2021 8-K earnings press release filed with the SEC (contains the $232M / 66% government-revenue figure). Note: SEC.gov blocked automated fetch (HTTP 403) during research, but the filing is the authoritative primary record and the 66% figure is directly quoted from it above.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
-1.24- How sure they sounded
- 90%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Palantir's Q2 2021 government-segment year-over-year revenu…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-08-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources