Full record
MissmarketsMaxLinear (MXL) stock will not rise above ~$50 per share; it has hit its ceiling.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Missmarkets“I can't see it going over 50 unless something remarkable happens.”
MaxLinear (MXL) stock will not rise above ~$50 per share; it has hit its ceiling.
- Made on
- 2021-08-07
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- -0.89
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-08-11
MXL share price does not exceed ~$50 at any point within the 36-month window; the claim fails if MXL trades above $50.
Criterion: claim FAILS if MXL trades above ~$50 at any point in the 36-month window. It did so within two trading days of the call and decisively so (peak $77.89). Prices are IBKR/NASDAQ regular-hours OHLC daily bars. resolved_on set to the first daily close clearly above $50 (2021-08-11); outcome is unambiguous regardless of the '~' tolerance given the later $77.89 peak. No conflicting evidence.
Sources
MaxLinear Stock Review [MXL] | A Less-Known Interesting Semiconductor Play
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
MXL breached the ~$50 'ceiling' almost immediately after the claim: first intraday print above $50 on 2021-08-09 ($50.50 high), first daily CLOSE above $50 on 2021-08-11 ($51.08). It then ran far higher, reaching an in-window all-time intraday high of $77.89 on 2021-12-28 — roughly 56% above the claimed ceiling. MXL traded above $50 on many dates across the 2021-08-07→2024-08-07 window.
Independent confirmation: MaxLinear's all-time-high closing price in this era was ~$77.07 (Dec 27, 2021); its 2022 high was ~$76.98 — both well above $50.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
-0.89- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
MaxLinear (MXL) stock will not rise above ~$50 per share; i…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-08-07
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources