Full record
MisstechTesla's Giga Berlin factory will launch/begin production in January 2022.
A scored prediction by Tom Nash, made on .
Scored prediction
Misstech“Instead of June, the actual launch will be in January.”
Tesla's Giga Berlin factory will launch/begin production in January 2022.
- Made on
- 2021-05-03
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.31
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-03-22
Tesla Giga Berlin begins series vehicle production during January 2022.
Criterion: Giga Berlin begins series vehicle production during January 2022. Final regulatory approval did not come until 2022-03-04 and first series deliveries were 2022-03-22, so series production did not begin in January 2022. Deadline 2022-01-31 passed without the event; resolution date set to the observable production/delivery start.
Sources
Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting Highlights, Tesla German Factory Delay Rumors & More Stock News
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Giga Berlin received final production approval from Brandenburg authorities on 2022-03-04, not in January 2022. Series/mass production was gated behind this approval.
CNBC: Giga Berlin opening ceremony and first customer deliveries of German-made Model Y took place 2022-03-22, the earliest series-production vehicles handed over.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+0.31- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Tesla's Giga Berlin factory will launch/begin production in…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-05-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources